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| #1093939 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 03.Jun.2022) TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...ARTEMISA...LA HABANA...AND MAYABEQUE * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 87.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.8N 82.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.7N 79.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N 72.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.7N 68.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 34.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 86.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 03/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |