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#1094191 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 04.Jun.2022)
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022
0300 UTC SUN JUN 05 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 78.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 78.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 78.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N 72.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.9N 68.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.9N 64.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.6N 59.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 34.7N 55.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.9N 50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 38.6N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 78.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI