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| #1094267 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:35 PM 05.Jun.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 200 PM EDT Sun Jun 05 2022 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS ALEX IS A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA STARTING LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 72.5W ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.28 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 72.5 West. Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Monday, followed by an eastward motion at a slower forward speed on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the tropical storm is expected to pass near or just north of Bermuda on Monday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 65 mph (105 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight. After that, Alex is forecast to weaken, and the system is expected to become an extratropical low on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 991 mb (29.28 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Alex can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Alex is expected to bring 2 to 3 inches or 50 to 75 mm of rain across Bermuda late tonight into Monday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on the island of Bermuda beginning late tonight or on Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |