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| #1094339 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 05.Jun.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Alex Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 1100 PM AST Sun Jun 05 2022 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ALEX A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.5N 69.0W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 69.0 West. Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm is expected to pass near or just north of Bermuda on Monday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and observations from NOAA Buoy 41048 indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Alex is forecast to begin to weaken overnight, and the system is expected to become an extratropical low by late Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. Earlier this evening NOAA buoy 41048 reported peak sustained winds of 60 mph (96 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 mph (111 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure based on reconnaissance aircraft data is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Alex can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on the island of Bermuda beginning late tonight. RAINFALL: Rainfall from Tropical Storm Alex is expected to bring 1 to 2 inches or 25 to 50 mm of rain across Bermuda tonight into Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |