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| #876895 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:23 AM 05.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 AM AST WED OCT 05 2016 ...NICOLE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 62.8W ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 62.8 West. Nicole is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), but a turn toward the northwest is expected later today. A turn toward the north and northeast with a decrease in forward speed is forecast by Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |