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| #877082 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 PM 06.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST THU OCT 06 2016 ...NICOLE A LITTLE STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MEANDER... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.5N 65.1W ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 65.1 West. Nicole is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion at a slower forward speed is expected through Friday morning. A meandering motion, but generally toward the south or southeast, is expected later Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Although some additional strengthening is expected tonight, weakening is forecast by late Friday through Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole, along with rough surf conditions, will affect Bermuda for the next few days. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain |