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| #888193 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 19.Apr.2017) TCDAT1 Subtropical Depression One Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017 500 PM AST Wed Apr 19 2017 The subtropical depression`s cloud pattern has changed little in organization during the day and it consists of an exposed low-level center with moderate convection within a curved band over the eastern semicircle. The initial intensity is still estimated at 30 kt. Given the prevailing strong shear and the cold sea surface temperatures, no strengthening is forecast before the subtropical cyclone becomes absorbed on Thursday by an approaching extratropical low. The subtropical depression is moving toward the north-northeast and north at about 10 kt. A general northward track, around the approaching extratropical low, is expected tonight and early Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 32.4N 40.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 34.0N 40.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila |