CFHC Talkback For News Story #106:
Newest Talkback: 03:39 AM 09-13 EDT

Hurricane Watches From Flagler South to Hallandale -- 155MPH
05:01 AM EDT - 13 September 1999

Good morning. Not much new to say this morning. The storm is 1Mph shy of Category 5 status, and it's still moving West. Prepare Now. I am. Today will be sporadic post day and I'll be checking only ocassionally so hopefully all my automated stuff works without blowing up. Stay tuned to local media and keep watch.

Evacuation orders would be done tomorrow if done, so remember this. Today may be the only full day you get to have before conditions worsen. Good luck and God Bless all! It is important to not panic and just prepare smart. It could still miss us (direct landfall), but I doubt we won't get by without a fairly significant scratch from a near cat 5 Hurricane.

Weather enthusiasts who have access to a shortwave radio may want to tune to 14.325 Mhz USB. (upper sideband)

This is the network frequency for the Hurricane Watch Network, a Nationwide Network of Volunteer Amateur radio Operators who provide information to the National Hurricane Center in Florida.

This emergency information network is now active for Hurricane Floyd.

Homepage http://www.hwn.org

For East Central Florida residents and guests looking for more information such as Evacuation Routes and Planning tips see the following pages: [Brevard] [Volusia] [Flagler] [Indian River] [Inland] [News Media]
These have links to the county sites which gives evacuation information and shelter locations.

Also our links page has links to other areas in Florida -- look for the Emergency Management County pages.

For more information on Hurricane Floyd see the Current Storm Spotlight for Hurricane Floyd.
For more information on Gert see the Current Storm Spotlight for Gert.
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics for Floyd.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Floyd and for Gert
Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson

Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Floyd Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #16 (of 16 total)
HURRICANE WATCH (#1)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 06:37AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNRPV*)

Good mornng south Florida, ok now this is it YOU HAVE TO GET IT DONE TODAY, we are now unders a hurricane watch, please do the things you need to do today and than if asked to get out than get out. Hurricane FLOYD will be here and will be a cat 5 by that time you need to tighten up and keep and open ear to the weather today , ill be on all day to help woth this and you have my site and this site to help, ill post my site again today and give the address where ill be in the live storm chat of my site and am happy to have anyone, just drop on in and start chatting if you need information, Mike AndersonFlorida WX.
SST's (#2)
Posted by: Robin Location: Melrose, FL
Posted On 07:33AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RPYNRQRNQSRNRQP*)

Channel 4 in Jax just reported that Floyd is about to pass over a cool pool of water in the wake of Dennis, and that their info was from the Johns Hopkins SST site. I am familiar with that site, I checked it, and could find no indication of a cool pool as far south as lat 24/25N. SST's in the area are almost uniformly in the 30-31 degree range. There is a pool of 29 degree water NNW of Abaco that appears to conform to Dennis track, but Floyd is still far from that. area and may never cross it. Anybody else watching SST's?
Floyd (#3)
Posted by: Mike Location: N. Ft. Myers
Posted On 07:34AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RTNQRYNRVNQTT*)

The TV weatherman in this town are saying all the
models show floyd skirting the coast on its way north. From what I say and read that is not true is it? I know they don't want to over do this I GUESS!!! but why don't they mention the other possabilities in their forcasts? I see the pictures showing a westward motion. Any Comment?
Watch the track (#4)
Posted by: JC Location: Cocoa, FL
Posted On 07:42AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RPVNRRXNRSTNRU*)

Just watch the track... It all depends on when it will take the WNW turn. Earlier Good for FL Later bad for FL.
FLOYD (#5)
Posted by: Mary McLaughlin Location: Goose Creek, SC
Posted On 07:56AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QRNQSNQTUNQST*)

I don't know much about all this but I just thought I'd say that I am hoping for the wnw tracking to start soon...I can't imagine them getting smashed in Florida again since Andrew did so much damage...I hope that the upper trough winds and the double High takes care of this Bad Boy...
God help us if it hits...
Mary
Floyd/Inland Winds (#6)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 08:23AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQXY*)

I am pretty surprised that noone (except our local ABC affiliate) is reporting the effects of Floyd on the inland counties. Polk County is only about 40 miles sw of Orlando. Our local ABC weatherman just stated that Polk County could/would experience tropical storm force and/or hurricane strength winds. If you live inland in Florida remember that as of right NOW the hurricane force winds extend out up to 105 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 290 miles from the center. This will be a dangerous system for all the residents of Florida, not just the coastal counties. Please pay attention and start preparing your house/yard. Not trying to lecture, just being realistic. Thanks!!!!
Local weather reports (#7)
Posted by: Mary Location: Lakeland
Posted On 08:47AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNTU*)

Thanks Colleen, I had not heard that report. All I could get was about the Bucs game. The weather Channel is talking about two troughs steering the storm away from the coast line. They are referring to will come close. Can one of you who know or do good guessing tell me how close they mean by close? I know 50 miles was thrown around over the weekend. But 105 miles is further than 50 miles and 290 miles is further than 105 and the graphics are just that. This information is important in deciding when to tell our bosses when we have to go to tend to buisness.You do not know how hard it is to get people in-land to take this storm seriously.
Floyd (#8)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 08:55AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQXY*)

Mary--you are so right. Denis Phillips is the ONLY one mentioning hurricane force winds inland. I also spoke with my son's school this morning and they have no clue as to what this hurricane can do. My guess is that Polk County Emergency Management will talk sometime today and notify the public schools. The comment I got today was "Well, it would have to get pretty bad here to close the schools" which is not true as they closed them last year for Georges and also when Erin came in a few years back. Mary -- please email me if you want to talk---maybe we can swap phone numbers and keep each other up to date. I have a feeling that before people inland take this seriously enough it will be too late to do anything. One other point Mary --there is an inland model on the NHC home page which gives examples of different size hurricanes hitting the east coast...Polk County would feel 100mph + winds with a Cat 5 hurricane. Not a good feeling. TOMORROW was when they said we could start feeling this stuff. When are they going to evacuate the mobil homes
Mary/Work (#9)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 08:58AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQXY*)

Mary-unfortunately, until the local county government takes a stand on this, most companies will brush it off as a non-threat, unless they know something about hurricanes. Most times I found you are banging your head on a brick wall. Good luck!!! I am getting my yard/outside/inside prepared today.
Creating its' own environment? (#10)
Posted by: Brian Location: Hollywood Beach, Florida
Posted On 09:02AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QSWNURNQYXNQTW*)

Will the trough really turn this system? When they become sooo large and sooo strong, don't they basically create their own environment, thereby moving where they want, instead of following the steering currents? ANYONE?
inland wind speeds (#11)
Posted by: alan byrd Location: Orlando
Posted On 09:08AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RPVNRVNRTYNSR*)

Coleen, what is the exact web site for those inland wind speeds. I can't find it.
Thanks
flyod (#12)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 09:34AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (VSNQSNSVNRSV*)

Floyd is a catigory 5 hurricane,though 155mph.
1 mph will make no difference,,,so we hope you
all are prepared to make emergency plans now.
My full update will be later tonight,but I will
be on thoughout the day to give you all the
direction and any changes of this cat 5 storm.

Note people from Ft.myers north on the west
coast of Florida need to watch this also, but
we wont know really until late tonight on
all of you. scottsvb
Inland Wind Model (#13)
Posted by: Colleen Atwater Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 10:00AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQXQ*)

Alan - here's the website address: www.nhc.noaa.gove/index.html

It is on the Home Page (1st page you see) in the left hand columns under Inland Wind Model. Hope this helps.
wind speed chart (#14)
Posted by: troy
Posted On 10:06AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQURNVRNXY*)

Crown Weather has changed their URL for their wind speed predictions. It is now listed by city rather than county. The county onemay be reposted as he updates it.
here is the link to the active one now
http://www.crownweather.com/town.html

Troy
Great I would love to do that (#15)
Posted by: mary Location: Lakeland
Posted On 10:12AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNTU*)

Hi Colleen, I will have to get back to you because I have to leave for work in a few minutes and wont be back until after 8pm tonight. By then we may really have something to chat about!
Hurricane watch will be extended southward (#16)
Posted by: Thomas Wells
Posted On 10:39AM 13-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYYNQWT*)

Mia State forecast disscusion says watch will be extended southward at 11am to include the Miami area.
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