CFHC Talkback For News Story #136:
Newest Talkback: 12:51 PM 10-15 EDT

October
07:17 AM EDT - 11 October 2000

Still not much going on right now. It's going to be slow from here on out, although now is the time when things can form somewhat unexpectedly, so we will be watching.

Hurricane Season is not over until November 30th.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #7 (of 7 total)
Anyone out there? (#1)
Posted by: Collin
Posted On 11:21AM 12-Oct-2000 with id (RPWNQVNUPNRW*)

Man, you all are quiet. Any thoughts on potential development of the wave in the central Atlantic? How about a low developing near the Bahamas over the next couple days? Any impact on the U.S. from that?
Anyone out there? (#2)
Posted by: Collin
Posted On 11:23AM 12-Oct-2000 with id (RPWNQVNUPNRW*)

Man, you all are quiet. Any thoughts on potential development of the wave in the central Atlantic? How about a low developing near the Bahamas over the next couple days? Any impact on the U.S. from that?
Tropics (#3)
Posted by: Steve H.
Posted On 01:14PM 12-Oct-2000 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

The low pressure in the central atlantic looks like it's getting beaten into submission by the shear. Lower level structure is looking much less organized than this morning, and convection is blowing off to the NE and not re-developing very well. Indeed, it might be raising the white flag after its long struggle. But things can change quickly so we should still watch it. The forecast development of a surface low in the Bahamas is being handled differently by the models, with most forecasters going with the AVN, and taking it between Bermuda and Cape Hatteras. The ECMWF takes it in that direction initially, but stalls it and moves it west to just off the east coast of central florida on monday as a fairly deep tropical system (obviously moving it west under the assumption that relatively strong ridging holds to it's north). So really, we'll have to see what develops. The global model develops a surface low further south near western Haiti, but then it disappears
Bahamian Low (#4)
Posted by: Steve H.
Posted On 03:06PM 12-Oct-2000 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

Interesting how the local NWS forecasters have the anticipated developing low pressure system over the Turks/Caicos moving NE well offshore, whilst the NCEP Tropical desk says it will move NW. Still something we should watch.
Still Quiet... (#5)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.stormwarn2000.com) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 06:51PM 12-Oct-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNTPNTX*)

Well to me both the front over the Bahamas, and the Tropical Wave east of the Leewards are now beginning to look better organised on IR imagery. The TW especially looks to finally be organising and concentrating closer to its axis, rather than being a vast area of disorganised clouds. Both areas will need watching closely over the next few days.

FRONT (#6)
Posted by: LONNY Location: HOLLYWOOD,FL
Posted On 06:55PM 12-Oct-2000 with id (QURNQVSNQYWNTY*)

I thought by this weekend the front would start moving north as a warm front. It seems the High is pretty strong and will take some time till this develops. Some models show lows forming along the front but out to sea. I think it will have to be watched for future developement in the tropics. I am still sticking to 14 named storms. So I guess I'll see.
Bahamian Low (#7)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.stormwarn2000.com) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 12:51PM 15-Oct-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNQWRNQVY*)

Just a qucik post to say at the moment the system resembles a sub-tropical storm. reports of tropical storm force winds have been received. Will probably be declared tropical or subtropical shortly.
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