Possible Hurricane Bret soon - still trending North.
04:15 PM EDT - 20 August 1999
Very quick update. Looks as if Bret will be upgraded to a hurricane tonight. And it's still moving northward. Visible satellite pictures seem to indicate an eye attempting to form. People in Texas and the Western Gulf need to pay attention to this one VERY closely, especially if no trends to the west develop by Sunday or so.
The main thing driving Bret at the moment is an upper-level trof which moved into Texas and Mexico yesterday. If this system stops moving away from Bret, it will drive it more northward. And a category 2 Hurricane is not out of the question. There is an upper level low west of Bret as well. If this low were to sink then we could get explosive strengthening in the system. This is also something to watch out for.
More later...
For more information on TD#4 see the Current Storm Spotlight for TD#4.
For more information on BRET see the Current Storm Spotlight for Bret.
Some Forecast models:
(NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
- [mac]